📡 DRAFT RESEARCH PROPOSAL · KM3NeT/ARCA · NEUTRINO ASTRONOMY

KM3NeT/ARCA Neutrino Search for Technosignature Emission from Omega Centauri

A dedicated time-integrated and time-dependent point-source analysis targeting Hawking-like neutrino emission from Omega Centauri's intermediate-mass black hole candidate, as theorized by Dvali & Osmanov (2023) · Working draft for collaboration and funding development · April 2026

1. Principal Investigator Statement

We propose a dedicated time-integrated and time-dependent neutrino point-source analysis centered on Omega Centauri (ω Cen, NGC 5139), targeting Hawking-like emission from engineered quantum black holes as theorized by Dvali & Osmanov (2023). This analysis will constitute the most sensitive search to date for technosignature-motivated neutrino emission from this source, leveraging the unique geometrical advantages of KM3NeT/ARCA for southern-sky sources.

We emphasize that this is a null-hypothesis-grounded observational program: the most parsimonious explanation for OC's electromagnetic silence is gas starvation of a quiescent IMBH, not ETI activity. A null result at design sensitivity would itself constitute a meaningful scientific constraint on any Hawking-like emission from the cluster core, regardless of its origin.

2. Scientific Rationale

2.1 Target: Omega Centauri

Omega Centauri is the Milky Way's most massive globular cluster (M ≈ 4×10⁶ M☉, ~10⁷ stars) at a distance of 5.49 ± 0.06 kpc (~17,900 ly) — the most precise kinematic distance available (Häberle et al. 2025, ApJ 983, 95; oMEGACat VI). It is widely accepted as the stripped core of an ancient dwarf galaxy.

In 2024, Häberle et al. reported seven fast-moving stars within the central 3″ (0.08 pc) whose velocities exceed the local escape speed, requiring a compact mass with:

⚠ Active scientific debate — required context for any proposal: Bañares-Hernández et al. (2025, A&A 693, A104) combined stellar kinematics with MSP timing accelerations and found a 3σ upper limit of <6,000 M☉ on any point-mass IMBH, favouring an extended dark mass of ~2–3 × 10⁵ M☉ (equivalent to ~10,000–20,000 stellar-mass BHs). This is in direct tension with the Häberle lower bound. LISA (~2035) is the definitive arbiter. Proposals must acknowledge both constraints and explain why the search is scientifically valuable under either scenario.

2.2 Technosignature Hypothesis

Dvali & Osmanov (2023, Int. J. Astrobiology 22, 617–640) propose that sufficiently advanced civilisations may employ quantum black holes as computational substrates, maximising information storage (Bekenstein bound) and processing rates (Margolus-Levitin theorem). The associated Hawking-like emission would be "democratic" across particle species, including high-energy neutrinos detectable with km³-scale neutrino telescopes.

Crucially, this framework does not predict a specific flux. The proposal is motivated by the absence of a dedicated search, not by any positive evidence. ω Cen's IMBH candidate, quiet core environment, and optimal declination for ARCA make it a well-motivated first target for such a search.

2.3 Why KM3NeT/ARCA Is the Preferred Instrument

ω Cen's declination (δ ≈ −47°) places it in KM3NeT/ARCA's optimal upgoing field of view:

3. Observation Strategy

3.1 Dataset

Primary instrument: KM3NeT/ARCA (Capo Passero, Sicily, 3,500 m depth)

Current status: 51 of 230 detection units deployed as of end-2025 (~22% complete). Already detecting PeV-scale events (KM3-230213A, 120 PeV; Nature 638, 376, 2025). This proposal targets both current partial-array data and accumulated Phase 2 data.

ParameterValue
Energy range10 TeV – 10 PeV (track events)
Angular cut0.5° radius circle centred on ω Cen (RA 13h 26m 47.24s, δ −47° 28′ 46.5″ J2000)
Event typeTrack-like (μν), well-reconstructed, angular error <1°
Zenith requirementUpgoing tracks only (declination < −20°)
Sensitivity referenceKM3NeT Collaboration, Eur. Phys. J. C 84, 885 (2024)

3.2 Time-Integrated Point-Source Analysis

We employ an unbinned maximum likelihood analysis (ULMA) following established KM3NeT/ARCA and IceCube point-source methodologies:

L(n_s, γ) = ∏ᵢ [ n_s · S(δᵢ, Eᵢ | γ) + n_b · B(δᵢ, Eᵢ) ]

Where S is the signal PDF (2D Gaussian PSF × power-law spectrum E−γ) and B is the background PDF estimated from RA-scrambled events preserving the local sidereal time (LST) distribution.

Spectral hypotheses tested: E⁻² (Fermi-acceleration benchmark), E⁻²·⁵ (softer), E⁻¹·⁵ (burst-harder)

Systematics as nuisance parameters:

Deliverables: median 90% CL E⁻² sensitivity and 5σ discovery flux at δ ≈ −47°; flux upper limit for ω Cen; pre-trial p-value sky map within 5° of ω Cen.

3.3 Time-Dependent Burst Search

Kugelblitz scenarios predict transient neutrino/γ-ray flash events from micro-black-hole creation and rapid Hawking evaporation. We add a dedicated burst search:

3.4 Multi-Wavelength Cross-Checks

4. Expected Outcomes and Scientific Value

4.1 Null Result (Most Likely)

A non-detection at design sensitivity is expected and scientifically valuable:

4.2 Detection

A statistically significant neutrino cluster (≥5σ post-trials) spatially coincident with ω Cen, not correlated with known γ-ray sources, would constitute a compelling candidate given the known IMBH candidate and absence of conventional astrophysical accelerators. It would immediately warrant multi-wavelength follow-up and independent telescope confirmation.

5. Work Plan

YearQuarterMilestoneDeliverable
1Q1–Q2Data access, quality cuts, Monte Carlo validationARCA dataset documentation
1Q2–Q3Event selection optimisation for δ ≈ −47°Internal technical note v1
1Q3–Q4ULMA pipeline implementation and sensitivity curvesPoint-source analysis code
2Q1–Q2Time-integrated analysis completionSensitivity plots, 90% CL upper limit
2Q2–Q3Burst search framework and trials analysisInternal technical note v2
2Q3–Q4Fermi-LAT + IACT cross-checksMulti-wavelength joint limits report
3Q1–Q2Combined analysis with IceCube (if data agreement permits)Draft journal paper
3Q3–Q4PublicationSubmitted to ApJ/ApJL

6. Budget Justification

ItemCost (€)Justification
HPC compute (3 years)45,000Monte Carlo simulations, RA-scrambling analyses (15,000+ scrambles), sensitivity calculations
Postdoc / graduate RA (partial, 3 years)90,000Primary analyst effort — point-source pipeline, burst search, Fermi-LAT cross-check
Travel (conferences + collaboration meetings)12,000KM3NeT collaboration meetings (2×/year), ICRC/TeV conferences
Publication fees3,500Open-access ApJ APC
Total150,500

7. References

  1. Häberle, M., et al. (2024). Fast-moving stars around an intermediate-mass black hole in Omega Centauri. Nature, 631, 285–289. doi:10.1038/s41586-024-07511-z; arXiv:2405.06015
  2. Häberle, M., et al. (2025). oMEGACat VI. ApJ, 983, 95. doi:10.3847/1538-4357/adbe67; arXiv:2503.04903 — kinematic distance 5,494 ± 61 pc
  3. González Prieto, A., et al. (2025). Growing the IMBH in Omega Centauri. ApJL, 990, L69. doi:10.3847/2041-8213/adfd4a; arXiv:2507.06316
  4. Bañares-Hernández, A., et al. (2025). New constraints on central mass contents of Omega Centauri. A&A, 693, A104. doi:10.1051/0004-6361/202451763 — 3σ upper limit <6,000 M☉ on point-mass IMBH
  5. Dvali, G., & Osmanov, Z. (2023). Black holes as tools for quantum computing by advanced civilisations. Int. J. Astrobiology, 22, 617–640. doi:10.1017/S1473550423000186
  6. KM3NeT Collaboration (2024). Astronomy potential of KM3NeT/ARCA. Eur. Phys. J. C, 84, 885. arXiv:2402.08363 — current sensitivity reference superseding Aiello et al. 2019
  7. KM3NeT Collaboration (2025). Observation of an ultra-high-energy cosmic neutrino with KM3NeT. Nature, 638, 376–382. doi:10.1038/s41586-024-08543-1 — KM3-230213A, 120 PeV, demonstrates PeV-scale sensitivity
  8. KM3NeT Collaboration — Aiello, S., et al. (2019). Sensitivity of KM3NeT/ARCA to point-like sources. Astropart. Phys., 111, 100. arXiv:1810.08499 — historical sensitivity reference
  9. Mahida, A. D., et al. (2025). No evidence for accretion around the IMBH in Omega Centauri. ApJ, 996, 122. arXiv:2512.09649
  10. Chen, S., et al. (2025). JWST constraints on accretion from the IMBH in Omega Centauri. Preprint. arXiv:2511.20945
  11. Babak, S., et al. (2017). LISA EMRI science. Phys. Rev. D, 95, 103012. doi:10.1103/PhysRevD.95.103012
  12. Greene, J. E., Strader, J., & Ho, L. C. (2020). Intermediate-Mass Black Holes. ARA&A, 58, 257. doi:10.1146/annurev-astro-032620-021835
This is a working draft research proposal produced by the Omega Centauri Society for the purpose of seeding collaboration and funding applications. It is not an official submission to any funding body. Researchers with KM3NeT data access agreements are encouraged to build on this document. The OCS hypothesis (Macro Transcension) is a speculative framework; this proposal is scientifically valuable under any outcome of the IMBH debate, including the dark-cluster alternative.

Version: April 2026 · ← Return to omegacentauri.me

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